Saturday, August 10, 2013

Portfolio Performance and Review



I am under performing the S&P. As a fund manager I probably would get fired or have excessive amount of withdrawals.

 Let's go through what I hold and why I hold them:

 $INTC - Value holding - I believe sentiment will turn late 2013 and early 2014 once the new 14nm and mobile chips start hitting the market. Will exit if $INTC does not break into the mobile market. The new kicker is the McAfee acquisition Intel made 2-3 years ago. Intel will build anti-virus feature directly into the processor. There's also a 4% dividend as a kicker for holding. The market is currently driven by high beta growth stocks. Value names are left out- which make it fantastic for anyone to buy in. Free cash flow is never a bad thing.

 $POT - Value holding - Population growth vs the growth of arable land will agree with my investment thesis. Short-term sell off on the cartel news provided an excellent entry point for the biggest potash producer. The long term growth story is intact. Will see how this play out by year end.

 $CLR - Growth holding - I should've bought more as this growth play in the U.S. shale oil bloom was severely under valued. At the current price of $95, it is relatively fully value. I still believe the company can grow production at 20%. I do not foresee oil prices coming down anytime soon. Let's hold this one unless WTI crude breaks $85.

 $CEO - Growth holding - China is still growing at 7% a clip. This would required her oil exploration company to grow with the demand for energy. It's a no brainer but the catch is this is a government controlled entity. Political risk is too great. Unlikely to add to this holding anytime soon.

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